In
the weeks leading up to the draft, Perfect Game will be providing a
detailed overview of each state in the U.S., including the District
of Columbia, as well as Canada and Puerto Rico. These overviews will
list the state's strengths, weaknesses and the players with the best
tools, as well as providing scouting reports on all Group 1 and 2
players as ranked in Perfect Game's state-by-state scouting lists.
Contributing:
Allan Simpson
New Jersey State-by-State List
2011 New Jersey Overview
New
Jersey Overview:
Draft
Emphasis Swings to College Talent This Year
The
New Jersey high-school draft crop invariably overshadows the talent
coming out of the state’s college ranks, but this year is a
definite exception.
Led
by Monmouth righthander Pat Light and Rutgers overnight sensation
Patrick Kivlehan, the draft emphasis in New Jersey this year has
swung clearly in favor of college players. As many as four or five
could be taken in the first 10-12 rounds, or possibly before a
high-school player even becomes a consideration. In fact, some New
Jersey-based scouts are saying that there may not even be a single
prep talent signed from the state this year. Given that, most players
in that demographic are expected to fall in the draft, and may not be
drafted at all.
Such
an occurrence took place as recently as 2010, when the first New
Jersey high-school player wasn’t selected until the 46th round. It’s a rarity, though, that New Jersey doesn’t produce a
prep pick of significant consequence in the first round or two, with
current big leaguers Rick Porcello (Tigers, 2007/first round) and
Mike Trout (Angels, 2009/first round) being obvious recent examples.
Last year’s draft produced righthander Kevin Comer (Blue Jays) in
the sandwich round and outfielder Carl Thomore (Rockies) in the
second round, and they were the only two high-school players to sign
among nine overall that were drafted.
There
are three obvious talents in this year’s prep crop in righthanders
Austin Sollecito (Boston College) and Michael Sheppard (St. John’s),
and shortstop Kevin Bradley (Clemson). All are viewed as difficult
signs because of their strong commitments to out-of-state colleges,
and likely will be drafted significantly lower than where their
talent warrants. They all come with a degree of intrigue, though, as
Sollecito is legally deaf, while both Sheppard and Bradley have
impressive pedigrees. Sheppard is the grandson of retired long-time
Seton Hall coach Mike Sheppard, the son of Seton Hall Prep coach Mike
Sheppard Jr. and the nephew of current Seton Hall coach Rob Sheppard.
Bradley is the son of current Princeton coach and ex-big leaguer
Scott Bradley.
With
the lack of signable talent in this year’s high-school crop, the
spotlight has shifted to the college talent, a rare occurrence in
recent years as there hasn’t been a college player taken in the top
20 rounds since 2009, when Princeton righthander David Hale was
picked in the third round by the Atlanta Braves. If Light is taken in
the sandwich round or second round this year, as expected, he would
become the highest New Jersey college selection since Rutgers
shortstop Todd Frazier was claimed in the supplemental first round
(34th overall) by the Cincinnati Reds in 2007.
New
Jersey in a nutshell:
STRENGTH:
College talent, righthanded pitching.
WEAKNESS:
High-school position prospects.
OVERALL
RATING
(1-to-5 scale): 4.
BEST
COLLEGE TEAM:
Seton Hall.
BEST
JUNIOR-COLLEGE TEAM:
Gloucester County.
BEST
HIGH SCHOOL TEAM:
Don Bosco Prep, Ramsey.
PROSPECT
ON THE RISE: Patrick Kivlehan, 3b, Rutgers University.
Kivlehan has progressed in the brief period of three months from not
even existing on the baseball map, literally, to being a potential
top 3-4 round pick in this year’s draft. Once a dominant
high-school baseball player, Kivlehan put away his baseball bat and
glove for four years while playing defensive back at Rutgers, and
contributing to three bowl-winning football teams. With his football
eligibility expired and still needing credits to graduate, Kivlehan
decided to try out for the Rutgers baseball team this spring, but not
before fulfilling an internship with Major League Baseball Advanced
Media over the winter. He was an overnight sensation for the Scarlet
Knights, and nearly won the Big East Conference triple crown by
leading the league in batting (.392) and home runs (14), while
finishing second to Louisville’s Stewart Ijames in RBIs (50 vs.
Ijames’ 60). He also stole 24 of 28 bases to finish third in the
Big East in that category. How high he rises before the draft is
still uncertain, but his superior athleticism is certain to stand out
in any number of team workouts he will participate in before the
draft.
WILD
CARD: Ryan Harvey, rhp, Seton Hall University.
Harvey presents scouts with a lot to digest with all his different
looks, roles and pitches. He has worked successfully as both a
starter and reliever at Seton Hall, and though his stuff is
definitely firmer in a short role, his four-pitch potential makes him
intriguing as a starter, especially as he has more of an opportunity
to stretch out his arm in that role. Harvey’s ability to spin the
ball, and throw both a plus slider and plus curve at different times,
is unusual in a 21-year-old pitcher. Though he may not be drafted
before the 8th-10th rounds, someone seeing him on the right day could really run him up a
draft board.
BEST
OUT-OF-STATE PROSPECT, New Jersey Connection:
Steven Bruno, 3b/ss, University of Virginia (Played high-school ball
in Audubon).
Top
2013 Prospect:
Chris Oakley, rhp, St. Augustine Prep, Egg Harbor Township.
Top
2014
Prospect:
Jeremiah Mohammad, of/rhp, Rutgers Prep, Somerset.
HIGHEST
DRAFT PICKS
Draft
History:
Jeff Kunkel, ss, Rider University (1983, Rangers/1st round, 3rd pick); Willie Banks, rhp, St. Anthony’s HS, Jersey City (1987,
Twins/1st round, 3rd pick).
2006
Draft: Billy
Rowell, 3b, Bishop Eustace HS, Pennsauken (Orioles/1st round, 9th pick).
2007
Draft: Rick
Porcello, rhp, Seton Hall Prep, Chester (Tigers/1st round, 27th pick).
2008
Draft: Jason
Knapp, rhp, North Hunterdon HS, Annandale (Phillies/2nd round).
2009
Draft: Mike
Trout, of, Millville HS (Angels/1st round, 25th pick).
2010
Draft: J.C.
Menna, rhp, Brookdale CC (A’s/14th round).
2011
Draft: Kevin
Comer, rhp, Seneca HS (Blue Jays/1st round, 57th pick).
2011
DRAFT OVERVIEW
College
Players Drafted/Signed:
5/5.
Junior
College Players Drafted/Signed:
1/1.
High
School Players Drafted/Signed:
9/2.
BEST
TOOLS
Best
Athlete: Patrick
Kivlehan, 3b, Rutgers University.
Best
Hitter:
Patrick Kivlehan, 3b, Rutgers University.
Best
Power:
Patrick Kivlehan, 3b, Rutgers University.
Best
Speed:
Patrick Kivlehan, 3b, Rutgers University.
Best
Defender:
Sam Mulroy, c, Princeton University.
Best
Velocity:
Pat Light, rhp, Monmouth University.
Best
Breaking Stuff:
Ryan Harvey, rhp, Seton Hall University.
Best
Command:
Pat Light, rhp, Monmouth University.
TOP
PROSPECTS, GROUPS ONE and TWO
GROUP ONE (Projected
ELITE-Round Draft / Rounds 1-3)
1. PAT LIGHT, rhp,
Monmouth University (Jr.)
The
6-foot-6, 200-pound Light was lightly-recruited out of high school,
despite posting a 20-0, 1.52 career mark at New Jersey’s Christian
Brothers Academy, where he was actually better known as a basketball
player. After passing up a 28th-round
draft offer from the Minnesota Twins in 2009, he was thrown right
into the fire as a freshman at Monmouth, and predictably struggled in
going 2-6, 6.12. But he has steadily improved in the two years since,
and even over the course of the last two months. Light finished this
spring with an 8-3, 2.40 record in 103 innings, while allowing only
84 hits and 16 walks versus 102 strikeouts. He had his most-dominant
outings late in the season, which helped to erase the sting of an
unfortunate early-season start against Virginia on Feb. 24 that was
heavily scouted. He allowed seven runs in five innings in that
outing. But his consistent improvement since then paints him as a
probable sandwich-round pick, and no worse than a second-rounder.
Light’s best pitch is his fastball. He throws both a 2-seamer and
4-seamer, and will hit 95-96 mph frequently early in outings; he has
also touched 97 mph when throwing out of the bullpen in the Cape Cod
League last summer. Light has a tendency to lose velocity gradually
over the course of an outing, perhaps the result of his long, lean
frame, which has caused some scouts to think of him as a possible
power reliever at the next level. His slider is a solid secondary
pitch, when he keeps his arm angle up and his fingers above the ball.
Light also throws a changeup that will need further developing as a
professional but shows promise. Throwing strikes is obviously not a
problem for Light, as his very favorable walk-to-strikeout ratio
attests.
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