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Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 11

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4/24/2013 9:06:39 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2082
Apologies ahead of time, Pac-12 fans. DM again has a very busy week and weekend ahead of him, so the commentary will be rather thin. Numbers are place in the conference standings (percentage-based).

This week’s games
#4 Stan at #2 Ore
#7 USC at #1 OSU
#3 UCLA at #8 WSU
#5 ASU at #11 Utah
#9 Cal at #10 UW
Alabama State [XAS] at #6 Ariz

An example ballot would look like this:
Stan 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1
Utah 3-0
Cal 3-0
XAS 2-1


Week 11 Series
  • Stanford visits Eugene for the Ducks’ second straight week as host of the conference’s top series this week. Oregon lost the first two games last week to UCLA on back-to-back binary scores (1-0) before salvaging a win on Sunday. The Cardinal showed they can still play ball by defeating Arizona 2-1 at home last week, losing only the second game, 10-9. Stanford has four conference series wins, two on the road, and only one loss, a home 2-1 affair to Utah. The Ducks have four wins too, three of them sweeps, to go along with two series losses, one on the road and last week’s loss at home.
  • USC travels to Corvallis to take on the Beavers. The Trojans are 2-4 in Pac-12 series this year, with all six series ending up 2-1 affairs. The Beavers suffered their first conference series loss last weekend in Seattle, but they’re home now, where they play a little better. The Trojans own the best all-time mark against the Beavers in the conference, a 48-22 record. Even if the OSU swept USC every year, it would take the Beavers more than eight years to even out that win-loss deficit. The problem is, even when USC is not particularly good, they still rarely get swept.
  • Wazzu looked to be he typical dark horse team of the conference when they opened conference play by beating ASU 2-1 in Tempe. But since then have lost all four conference series they’ve played 1-2, two on the road and two at home. An not necessarily to the top teams in the league either (namely Cal and Utah). UCLA is coming off an impressive road win against the Ducks and have only lost two series so far, to the 1st place Beavers and 5th place Devils.
  • ASU visits Salt Lake City to take on Utah in our conference mismatch series. Although, the Devils did lose one of three games to Valpo and Utah has played very tough baseball, especially defensively, notching series wins over Stanford and Wazzu. The Sun Devils need to use this series as a springboard into the upper ranks of the conference while some of the better teams beat each other up.
  • The ugly series this week is between 9th place Cal and 10th place Washington. You have to know the Huskies believe they can do anything at home, after beating the Beaver s2-1 last weekend. In fact they are 2-0 in home conference series so far.
  • The nonconference series is between Alabama State and Arizona. The Hornets are members of the Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC), one of the lower Division 3 conferences. But they are second in the league with a 15-6 conference record and 27-18 (.600) overall record. Of course, they haven’t played nor beaten anybody of note, and their ISR is 209 (out of 298). But schools of their ilk have defeated the Arizona schools this year already (Columbia, Bethune-Cupcake, Valparaiso). Upset special?
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4/24/2013 10:22:53 PM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1068
No apologies necessary, DM.

Stan 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 2-1
Utah 2-1
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
edited by Florida Beaver on 4/24/2013
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4/24/2013 10:27:54 PM

OpihiMan
OpihiMan
Posts: 990
Stan 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 2-1
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
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4/24/2013 10:34:24 PM

LSU_Blake
LSU_Blake
Posts: 522
I like both of your picks, but I dont think Oregon will lose the series to Stanford. Im sure you guys are a little biased to that pick though lol.

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91' 93' 96' 97' 00' 09' NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
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4/24/2013 10:40:42 PM

OpihiMan
OpihiMan
Posts: 990
UCLA shut them out twice and they have yet to win a series against a ranked team...that was my reasoning.
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4/24/2013 10:44:47 PM

LSU_Blake
LSU_Blake
Posts: 522
Oregons problem is that they cant hit good pitching. They have good hitters but for some reason when they go up against the elite those bats go ice cold. Of course, there is a reason those pitchers are great but most teams can at least score a few runs against them, but not Oregon.

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91' 93' 96' 97' 00' 09' NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
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4/24/2013 10:45:27 PM

LSU_Blake
LSU_Blake
Posts: 522
Have OSU and Oregon played yet. That ought to be a great matchup this year.

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91' 93' 96' 97' 00' 09' NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
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4/24/2013 11:53:01 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1258
The Ducks beat the Beavers two weeks ago in a mid-week game. They are scheduled to play another mid-week game and then wrap up the conference schedule in May with the Beavers playing in Eugene.

LSU_Blake wrote:
Have OSU and Oregon played yet. That ought to be a great matchup this year.
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4/24/2013 11:54:37 PM

SouthernBeaver
SouthernBeaver
Posts: 200
Stan 2-1 (my gut says Oregon, but my heart says they have yet to get a quality series win, so why predict it now?)
OSU 2-1
UCLA 3-0
ASU 2-1
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
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4/24/2013 11:55:42 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1258
Ore 3-0
OSU 3-0
UCLA 3-0
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
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4/24/2013 11:57:32 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1258
I hope you are spending another weekend at McMennemins or some other place fun.

Dodger Matt wrote:
Apologies ahead of time, Pac-12 fans. DM again has a very busy week and weekend ahead of him, so the commentary will be rather thin. Numbers are place in the conference standings (percentage-based).

This week’s games
#4 Stan at #2 Ore
#7 USC at #1 OSU
#3 UCLA at #8 WSU
#5 ASU at #11 Utah
#9 Cal at #10 UW
Alabama State [XAS] at #6 Ariz

An example ballot would look like this:
Stan 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1
Utah 3-0
Cal 3-0
XAS 2-1


Week 11 Series

  • Stanford visits Eugene for the Ducks’ second straight week as host of the conference’s top series this week. Oregon lost the first two games last week to UCLA on back-to-back binary scores (1-0) before salvaging a win on Sunday. The Cardinal showed they can still play ball by defeating Arizona 2-1 at home last week, losing only the second game, 10-9. Stanford has four conference series wins, two on the road, and only one loss, a home 2-1 affair to Utah. The Ducks have four wins too, three of them sweeps, to go along with two series losses, one on the road and last week’s loss at home.
  • USC travels to Corvallis to take on the Beavers. The Trojans are 2-4 in Pac-12 series this year, with all six series ending up 2-1 affairs. The Beavers suffered their first conference series loss last weekend in Seattle, but they’re home now, where they play a little better. The Trojans own the best all-time mark against the Beavers in the conference, a 48-22 record. Even if the OSU swept USC every year, it would take the Beavers more than eight years to even out that win-loss deficit. The problem is, even when USC is not particularly good, they still rarely get swept.
  • Wazzu looked to be he typical dark horse team of the conference when they opened conference play by beating ASU 2-1 in Tempe. But since then have lost all four conference series they’ve played 1-2, two on the road and two at home. An not necessarily to the top teams in the league either (namely Cal and Utah). UCLA is coming off an impressive road win against the Ducks and have only lost two series so far, to the 1st place Beavers and 5th place Devils.
  • ASU visits Salt Lake City to take on Utah in our conference mismatch series. Although, the Devils did lose one of three games to Valpo and Utah has played very tough baseball, especially defensively, notching series wins over Stanford and Wazzu. The Sun Devils need to use this series as a springboard into the upper ranks of the conference while some of the better teams beat each other up.
  • The ugly series this week is between 9th place Cal and 10th place Washington. You have to know the Huskies believe they can do anything at home, after beating the Beaver s2-1 last weekend. In fact they are 2-0 in home conference series so far.
  • The nonconference series is between Alabama State and Arizona. The Hornets are members of the Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC), one of the lower Division 3 conferences. But they are second in the league with a 15-6 conference record and 27-18 (.600) overall record. Of course, they haven’t played nor beaten anybody of note, and their ISR is 209 (out of 298). But schools of their ilk have defeated the Arizona schools this year already (Columbia, Bethune-Cupcake, Valparaiso). Upset special?
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4/25/2013 12:09:25 AM

beaverstate69
beaverstate69
Posts: 23
Stan 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0


DM - thanks for putting this together every week. It's been fun and makes it more interesting to follow all of the PAC 12 series.
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4/25/2013 5:53:08 AM

Rowdy
Rowdy
Posts: 82
Ore 2-1
USC 2-1
Ucla 2-1
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
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4/25/2013 8:07:15 AM

borgguy
borgguy
Posts: 545
Stan 2-1 Ducks have yet to beat a top quality opponent in a three game set and have difficulty hitting tough pitching
OSU 2-1 Beavs tend to struggle against teams they should destroy (see Washington, San Diego). at home though so should take care of business

UCLA 3-0 Bruins are starting to heat up

ASU 3-0 Devils just too powerful

UW 3-0 Cal Stinks, the huskies just took 2 of 3 from the beavs, possible let down? dont think so

Ariz 3-0 just... yeah...

--
GO BEAVS!
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4/25/2013 8:43:08 AM

BTExpress
BTExpress
Moderator
Posts: 4560
I'm looking forward to this Friday's PAC12 game between Arizona State and Utah. It will be my first PAC12 conference game. Seen plenty of PAC12 schools play, just not in the weekend conference setting.


With that being said, here are my fun picks for this weekend:

Ore 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 3-0
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
edited by BTExpress on 4/25/2013
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4/25/2013 9:33:05 AM

WildCard85
WildCard85
Posts: 67
Here we go ! :
Stan 3-0 (bringing in some HOT bats, counting on them staying that way)
OSU 3-0 (Trojans struggling)
UCLA 2-1 (Bruins just seem to always get it done)
ASU 2-1 (Utah steals a close game at home)
UW 2-1 (Not enough pitching for the sweep)
Ariz 3-0 (Alabama St. ? Really ???)

GO CARDINAL ! FEAR THE TREE !!
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4/25/2013 9:56:00 AM

Riverduck
Riverduck
Posts: 2113
LSU_Blake wrote:
I like both of your picks, but I dont think Oregon will lose the series to Stanford. Im sure you guys are a little biased to that pick though lol.

Yeah, they are still fuming about that husky loss. Last RPI check was 6 beavs, 8 ducks..
Ore 3-0
OSU 2-1
Ucla 3-0
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
edited by Riverduck on 4/25/2013
edited by Riverduck on 4/25/2013
edited by Riverduck on 4/25/2013
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4/25/2013 11:09:19 AM

hogfan4life
hogfan4life
Posts: 303
Ore 2-1
OSU 2-1
UCLA 2-1
ASU 3-0
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0
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4/25/2013 12:21:11 PM

OregonG20
OregonG20
Posts: 21
Stan 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
CAL 2-1
Ariz 3-0
edited by OregonG20 on 4/25/2013
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4/25/2013 12:33:04 PM

OregonStHomer
OregonStHomer
Posts: 47
Ore 2-1
OSU 3-0
UCLA 3-0
ASU 2-1
UW 2-1
Ariz 3-0

I feel like the ASU, and UCLA games could easily be switched. The Oregon schools should be solid on Home Field.
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