Not a member yet?
Subscribe Now!

Perfect Game Forum

Messages in this topic - RSS

Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-10: Week 11 predictions

Want to make your opinion heard or just chat about college baseball? This is your place.
pages: 1 2 3 4 | show rated messages only | you must log in at the top of the page to post
4/28/2011 12:03:27 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Two excellent series this week, two others that should be competitive, and the bottom series, a rivalry series—the Apple Cup! Good stuff in week 11.

This week's games (numbers are ISRs as of 4/27):
  • 7 OSU at 24 UCLA
  • 13 Stan at 4 ASU
  • 56 Ore at 17 Cal
  • 59 USC at 27 Ariz
  • 169 UW at 48 WSU
Oregon State at UCLA headlines the week, #1 vs. #3. In truth, UCLA probably should be #2 (absent that 9th inning four-run bullpen collapse in game 3 versus Stanford). This should be a contest between the only two teams in the Pac-10 that have not lost a series yet this year. Still, it does feature a very highly touted Friday-Saturday pitching duo (Gerrit and Cole) versus two other extremely successful starters (Gaviglio and Osich) who are backed by a much more solid bullpen. This series has serious national seed implications for the Beavers, who were never seeded higher than a regional number one even in their back-to-back NC years.

A close second series this week is the Cardinal at ASU. Comparing ISRs, one might say this should be the higher matchup, but Stanford's ISR appears somewhat inflated from nonconference games compared to how they have played in conference. Stanford pulled out a miracle win in the rubber game against UCLA to salvage a series victory. But they are 5-7 in conference play, below USC. This team still is virtually guaranteed a postseason berth, but can they beat a top 5 team--on the road—that has swept three conference opponents?

Oregon showed a little spark last weekend by taking 2 of 3 from a very good Arizona team, for their first conference series win. Cal is moving in the opposite direction. After starting 5-1 in conference, the Bears dropped two of their next three series, going 4-5. The Ducks have had difficulty getting the offense going this year, but Horton's team is 9-5 in the Golden State. And they know they have no margin for error.

USC is the feel-good surprise team of 2011. Following Chad Kreuter's departure, interim head coach Frank Cruz has made a difference already. Picked by the coaches to finish 9th this year (one spot behind OSU...LOL!), the Trojans are parked comfortably in 5th, with a legitimate chance to rise higher. Arizona is hard to figure out. They've lost series to three superior teams (OSU, ASU, UCLA) plus an inferior team (Oregon), but they've beaten Cal and have won at least one from all of their conference opponents. They have the edge playing at home against a lower ranked team, but USC has also taken at least one from each opponent. Close series?

And finally, the Apple Cup series. I will say this at every opportunity I have: Rivalry series should be the last series for each team of the conference year. These two teams sit at the bottom of the standings, and the only bragging rights either might have at the end of the year might be who beat whom in the Apple Cup. Give a not-so-bad but disappointing Wazzu team the edge playing at home against a not-so-good Washington team.

The reminders:
  • Vote for the team you expect to win and whether the results will be 3-0 or 2-1.
  • Pick teams in the exact order posted. This makes it easier for me to tabulate.
  • Use the team abbreviations listed in the sample below. (This means NO to "Furd" "UA" "WASH", etc.)
  • You can change your picks up until first pitch of the first game.
  • There are no prizes. We play for glory.
Points are awarded in the following manner:

Pick . . Result . . Pts.
3-0 . . . 3-0 . . . . . 6
. . . . . . 2-1 . . . . . 3
. . . . . . 1-2 . . . . . 1
. . . . . . 0-3 . . . . . 0

2-1 . . . 3-0 . . . . . 3
. . . . . . 2-1 . . . . . 4
. . . . . . 1-2 . . . . . 2
. . . . . . 0-3 . . . . . 1

A sample poll would look like this:

UCLA 2-1
Stan 2-1
Ore 2-1
Ariz 3-0
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 12:38:37 AM

CaughtBySparky
CaughtBySparky
Posts: 18
First in this week.

OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 2-1
0 permalink
4/28/2011 1:14:01 AM

BeaverBeliever20
BeaverBeliever20
Posts: 129
I'm going bold this week.

OSU 3-0
Stanford 2-1
Cal 3-0
Arizona 3-0
Washington 2-1
0 permalink
4/28/2011 1:34:42 AM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1217
Here's hoping to pick better this week (hard to do worse!)

OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 2:23:33 AM

OpihiMan
OpihiMan
Posts: 1111
OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 3-0
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 3:28:15 AM

CDinSV
CDinSV
Posts: 27
OSU 3-0 (The UCLA bats came alive securing double-digit hits in 2 of the 3 games, I just still don't believe in them tho)
Stan 2-1
Ore 2-1 (9-5 in CA going into the series is a good enough record for me)
Ariz 2-1 (I'll give the Trojans one game & keep the streak alive)
WSU 2-1 (This is one of those "Who really cares" type of series, having seen both teams early in the yr, I'll go with the Cougs).


That's my $0.02, what say you?
0 permalink
4/28/2011 8:08:55 AM

SouthernBeaver
SouthernBeaver
Posts: 200
This week I am less sure, so some safer bets with no sweeps...

OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 2-1
0 permalink
4/28/2011 10:56:14 AM

WildCard85
WildCard85
Posts: 78
UCLA 2-1
Stan 2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 10:57:02 AM

YellowlabOSU
YellowlabOSU
Posts: 34
I've never played before, but I'll pick for fun!

OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 11:23:07 AM

WCC1
WCC1
Posts: 11
OSU 2-1 (OSU is hot)
ASU 2-1
Ore 2-1 (Ducks will show up vs. CAL)
USC 2-1 (Ariz struggling; give it to the Trojans)
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 12:29:55 PM

borgguy
borgguy
Posts: 611
Dodger Matt wrote:
Oregon State at UCLA headlines the week, #1 vs. #3. In truth, UCLA probably should be #2 (absent that 9th inning four-run bullpen collapse in game 3 versus Stanford). This should be a contest between the only two teams in the Pac-10 that have not lost a series yet this year. Still, it does feature a very highly touted Friday-Saturday pitching duo (Gerrit and Cole) versus two other extremely successful starters (Gaviglio and Osich) who are backed by a much more solid bullpen. This series has serious national seed implications for the Beavers, who were never seeded higher than a regional number one even in their back-to-back NC years.



if i recall correctly OSU was #8 nationally in 05 when they went 0-2 at CWS

OSU 2-1 beavs and bruins are both playing well should be an epic series with a winner take all rubber match on sunday

ASU 2-1 unfortunatly for the cardinal, ASU has rediscovered thier fire after being swpet at OSU, stan has the pitching to take game one i think, but thats al

Ore 2-1 duckies are coming into thier own after a good win against arizona

USC 2-1 the cats need to find themselves, and fast

WSU 2-1 rivlry game so nothing can be taken for granted, but if the cougs pitch like they did sat against osu last week, UW is in for a long weekend

no sweeps for me this week i think everyone will have enough ability or just plain desire to get one this week

--
GO BEAVS!
0 permalink
4/28/2011 12:49:12 PM

MostUnknown
MostUnknown
Posts: 156
UCLA 2-1 Between Cole and Plutko I have to believe UCLA can get two at home(I'm calling Bauer a sure win).
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0 (Needed to pick a sweep)
0 permalink
4/28/2011 1:05:49 PM

ASU74
ASU74
Posts: 1044
UCLA 2-1
ASU 3-0 Fork Off
CAL 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1

DM: THX for the mid season standings ya posted last week!
edited by ASU74 on 4/28/2011
edited by ASU74 on 4/28/2011

--
Go Devils !!
Fork Off
0 permalink
4/28/2011 6:01:47 PM

rec1347
rec1347
Posts: 48
UCLA 2-1
ASU-2-1
Cal 2-1
Ariz 3-0
WSU 3-0
edited by rec1347 on 4/28/2011
0 permalink
4/28/2011 9:25:03 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1460
I'm going to try and protect my lead this week, but I may be going out on a limb with a couple of my picks, especially my sweeps.

OSU 2-1
ASU 3-0
Ore 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/28/2011 10:24:28 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
borgguy wrote:
if i recall correctly OSU was #8 nationally in 05 when they went 0-2 at CWS

I think you're right. But I believe I still felt slighted at that, since we were ranked higher. C'est la vie.

ASU74, is that a devil girl smilie? Cute.
0 permalink
4/29/2011 5:52:54 AM

ASU74
ASU74
Posts: 1044
Dodger Matt wrote:
borgguy wrote:
if i recall correctly OSU was #8 nationally in 05 when they went 0-2 at CWS

I think you're right. But I believe I still felt slighted at that, since we were ranked higher. C'est la vie.

ASU74, is that a devil girl smilie? Cute.


DM:
ASU is "re-branding" from "Sparky" to the "Fork". I just happen to see this smilie & used it. I didn't look under the tail and check for genitalia. Personally I say "Forget (just being nice here) the Fork"
edited by ASU74 on 4/29/2011

--
Go Devils !!
Fork Off
0 permalink
4/29/2011 6:59:48 AM

ASU74
ASU74
Posts: 1044
YellowlabOSU wrote:
I've never played before, but I'll pick for fun!

OSU 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 3-0


YellowlabOSU:
From your handle....does that make you a "Duck" hunter?.....I could not resist...we sell dog stuff. Best of luck to ya...this is fun!

--
Go Devils !!
Fork Off
0 permalink
4/29/2011 10:27:15 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Always have to double-check when I vote for a sweep, but I'm going for two this week.

OSU 2-1
ASU 3-0
Cal 2-1
Ariz 2-1
WSU 3-0
0 permalink
4/29/2011 12:41:56 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Pick analysis:
  • Top vote getter this week is Wazzu, a 17-1 favorite (with 10 sweeps) over in-state rival Washington.
  • Next is ASU, 14-4 over Stanford with 5 sweeps, followed closely by Cal, 14-4 over Oregon with 9 sweeps.
  • OSU is a 13-5 favorite (2 sweeps) over UCLA, but if you take out all the Beaver fan votes, it becomes a much closer UCLA 5-4 advantage (with OSU still getting 1 sweep).
  • Closest series this week is Arizona 12-6 with 2 sweeps over USC. But if you take out all the Arizona and USC fans, it's Arizona 12-6 with 2 sweeps.
BTW, here's an overview of the fans who have played this season. (We need more diversity...and that's the only time you'll ever hear those words coming from me.)
  • OSU: 13
  • None: 9
  • ASU: 4
  • Stanford: 1
  • Oregon: 1
Last year we had several more Devils, three Cards, three Ducks, a couple Cougs, couple Trojans, a Huskie, and a Wildcat. Never had a Bear sighting.
0 permalink
pages: 1 2 3 4 | show rated messages only | you must log in at the top of the page to post

Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-10: Week 11 predictions





Powered by AspNetForum 6.9.9.0 © 2006-2010 Jitbit Software