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weg313 - all messages by user

2/16/2011 7:16:42 PM
Topic:
Alright Kendall you got a month

weg313
weg313
K, your favorite Rice homer (and alumn) here. Looking forward to meeting you on Friday at The Reck. Excitement is in the air with two true Freshmen in the weekend rotation.
2/16/2011 7:34:09 PM
Topic:
Alright Kendall you got a month

weg313
weg313
Kendall Rogers wrote:
Walt,
Welcome and good to see you here already my friend!

Feel free to call me ... if you don't have my #, just email me and I'll give it to you.


Just shot you an e-mail. I have your cell number from a couple years ago, but not sure if still current.
2/17/2011 4:54:44 PM
Topic:
Upset central this weekend...

weg313
weg313
Given Stanford is ranked anywhere from 1 - 4 places above Rice in the various preseason polls, I'll go with the Owls to get revenge on the Cardinal for last year's debacle in Palo Alto. Payback is a bitch!
2/26/2011 7:11:26 AM
Topic:
Rice's Simms/Rendon sick/mildly hurt....

weg313
weg313
K, two problems with Rendon DHing: (1) it hurts us defensively-- and definately did last night as our true Freshman booted a tailor-made DP ball that handed USC a couple runs, and (2) it hurts us offensively as it takes away our left-handed DH against right-handed pitching.

Last night, Reckling had electric stuff (7 Ks in 4 innings of work), but couldn't find the strikezone. Fortunately, after Taylor Wall once again struggled in relief, Andrew Benak and Abe Gonzales combined to provide just under four innings of solid relief...and Rendon's 2-run blast in the bottom of the 8th provided the breathing room needed to close the deal.
2/26/2011 5:17:48 PM
Topic:
USC 5 vs. #15 Rice 6 (Final)

weg313
weg313
Solid relief for the second consecutive game; this time from Cingrani, Duffey and Chargois. Freshman Kubitza lights out through the first five innings (2 hits, 1 uneared run, 7 Ks), but hit a wall in the 6th inning...and USC capitalized big time.

Rice hurlers have struck out 12+ batter in three consecutive games-- probably for the first time since at least early in the 2007 season, and possibly back even further.
3/5/2011 9:13:19 PM
Topic:
Texas A&M 0, Rice 1 (FINAL)

weg313
weg313
Game time was 1:43, breaking the previous Minute Maid Tourney record by a full 25 minutes. Freshman Kubitza's line: 9.0 IP, 6 hits, 0 runs, 0 BBs, 0 HBP, 7 Ks...88 pitches, 66 strikes...never had a 2-0 count all game...allowed just one leadoff baserunner, and only allowed one hit with less than two outs....five of the six Aggie hits were ground balls through the hole. Wow.
3/15/2011 9:17:48 AM
Topic:
Southern Miss Tid Bits?

weg313
weg313
K, though I agree the C-USA race is shaping up to be a very tight one, I would actually place USM as my #2, with ECU and Tulane right behind, and UCF yet to prove they can play with the big boys. Unfortunately, it's very difficult to get a good read on the non-Rice teams, as they all play a relatively cupcake early OOC schedule. Yes, Tulane just won a home series vs. Witchita State, but the Shockers aren't exactly an elite team (Top 35) at the moment. BTW, depending on the Rice injury situation, affecting our 3 best hitters and defenders (Fuda, Rathjen, Rendon), Rice may no longer be the clear cut favorite in the conference. I do think our weekend rotation will carry us to a certain extent, but the young guys really need to step it up offensively and defensively if we are to stay a legitimate top 25 team.
3/15/2011 9:45:04 AM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: My weekly chat wrap (3/14)

weg313
weg313
K, I couldn't disagree more with you assessment of Rice this year. With Fuda and Rathjen injured and out of the lineup, and with Rendon still limitted only to DH duty due to his shoulder problem, it is our offense and defense that is holding us back. Over this past weekend, after Rathjen went down, we were playing as many as 5 true Freshman in the starting lineup, with Rendon and Ratterree the only guys who were in last year's everyday lineup. That's really a tough thing to overcome. Our Freshmen are talented, but they have to come up the learning curve and make the adjustments at the plate. Conversely, while the back of our bullpen has been woefully inconsistent, our pitching is the best it's been in 3 - 5 years. We finally have a multitude of power arms. Kubitza, Simms, Reckling, McDowell, Cingrani and Gonzales are all pitching very, very well (even if a couple of them have less than stellar ERAs)...and the recent performances of McDowell (complete game 4-hitter vs. UC-SB) and Cingrani might allow Coach Graham to move Simms into the closer role. Gonzales has been unblelievably reliable at middle relief (capable of giving us 3 - 4 strong innings 2 - 3 times per week). If we can get Wall and Duffey straightened out, this could be our best pitching staff since the 2003/04 Big 3 days.
3/15/2011 10:14:35 AM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: My weekly chat wrap (3/14)

weg313
weg313
K, we have suffered without Fuda in the lineup (and LF) the past 3 weeks. Obviously, the loss of Rathjen would be HUGE. However, I do think our pitching will carry us. Our bloated ERA is largely the result of Coach Graham doing his usual early season mixing and matching, giving as many pitchers on our staff multiple opportunities to step up and earn a spot in the eventual mix. That will change once the conference season begins. I'll take Kubitza (clearly, the real deal), Simms, Reckling, McDowell, Cingrani and Gonzales over any other C-USA staff's Top 6 pitchers...and I have confidence that Coach Pierce and Graham will straighten out at least one amongst Wall, Duffey and Anagnostou. When you consider that both McNair and Simmons are proven situational lefties out of the pen, that's a pretty darn good staff...and loaded with power arms.
3/22/2011 4:11:48 PM
Topic:
Bad news on Rice RHP Chase McDowell

weg313
weg313
Talk about a snake bit season. First, we lost ultra-talented Freshman RHP Connor Mason for the season (TJS to repair a high school injury), then during Fall Ball So RHP Anthony Fazio goes down for the season. Michael Fuda injures his ankle during the last week of Fall Ball, then injures his hammy the second week of the season, and has missed the past 3+ weeks of action. Rendon hasn't played the field since the opening weekend due to shoulder soreness (hurting the Owls both defensively and offensively since he's locked into the DH spot). Last weekend Jeremy Rathjen goes down for the season, and now Chase McDowell. So we've been missing our 2nd and 3rd best offensive and defensive players for the past 3 weeks (with Rathjen lost for the season)...our projected #2 or #3 starter in Chase McDowell, and and the third of our Freshman Big 3 RHPs. People don't realize this, but the Rice lineup currently consists of just two everyday players from last years' squad (Rendon and Ratterree) and Abe Gonzales is the only proven, returning pitcher amongst our current Top 7. Pretty ridiculous.


K, the above was from me; not quite sure why I'm being listed as a "guest"; especially since guests are not allowed on the premium board.
3/23/2011 9:25:43 AM
Topic:
UCF at Rice

weg313
weg313
I suggest you visit the Rice message board on www.ncaabbs.com for more detailed analysis. Rendon is currently in the midst of a brutal 3-week slump (by far the worst of his career) that has seen his AVG drop from close to .500 to just under .320. Many believe it's at least partially due to his not playing the field (due to a sore shoulder), and not feeling as involved in the game. Rendon and Ratterree (2B) are the only returning regulars from last year's everyday lineup (since Rathjen is out for the season and Fuda has missed the last month of action). Having sad that, slowly and surely the kiddie corp is making the adustments and starting to produce at a bit more consistent level. Having said that, the offense is definately scuffing, and Rice has never relied on the small ball game.

Since the second week of the season, the pitching has been exceptional, with only a couple bullpen meltdowns marring as good a stretch of Rice pitching as we've seen in 3 - 4 years. The McDowell injury this past weekend will hurt, as he had put together back-to-back outstanding weekend starts, and it means that one of our best bullpen options (LHP Cingrani or RHP Simms) will have to replace him in the weekend rotation. Both Fr RHP Kubitza (Friday) and Jr RHP Reckling (Sunday) have ERAs under 1.60, and are averaging better than a strikeout/IP. Sr LHP Abe Gonzales is once again the middle relief workhorse out of the bullpen. Closer So RHP Tyler Duffey has been a bit inconsistent, but when he's on he's unhittable. Fr RHP John Simms was recently moved from the weekend starter role to the back of the bullpen to shore things up late in games, and has three consecutive lights out, late inning outings.

Return the favor, por favor-- -what scoop can you give us on UCF?
3/23/2011 10:02:31 AM
Topic:
UCF at Rice

weg313
weg313
Thanks. Here's hoping you save the winning against a really good team for your upcoming battles with Tulane, USM and ECU.
3/23/2011 10:18:23 PM
Topic:
UCF at Rice

weg313
weg313
BTW, Sr LHP Tony Cingrani pitched the 9th inning today vs.UH (1.0 IP, 1 hit, 0 BBs, 2 Ks) as a tuneup for his likely Saturday or Sunday start, and hit 97 MPH on the Reckling Park gun (easily his highest recording of the season).
3/24/2011 9:04:29 PM
Topic:
UCF at Rice

weg313
weg313
For Rice, Freshman RHP Austin Kubitza (2-2, 1.56 ERA) gets the start on Friday, Jr RHP Matthew Reckling (2-0, 1.58 ERA) on Saturday, and the Sunday starter is TBD (whomever doesn't pitch in relief on Friday from amongst Fr.RHP John Simms, Sr LHP Tony Cingrani and Sr LHP Abe Gonzales. My bet is it will be Cingrani, unless the UCF lineup is decidedly right-handed laden. All three of the potential Sunday starters have ERA's under 3.00 against the 13th ranked Srength of Schedule (according to Boyds).
4/1/2011 7:45:40 AM
Topic:
Tulane loses another pitcher to TJ surgery

weg313
weg313
K, you keep harping on Tulane's injury woes and ability to stay afloat, but you hardly mention what Rice has had to overcome:

- Losing two projected starting pitchers before Spring practice even started (true Freshman Connor Mason and So. Anthony Fazio).

- Having Rendon relegated to DH for all but 5 games this season due to shoulder problems. This has not only adversely impacted our defense, but has hampered our lineup flexibility. Also, with Rendon's mind not as into the game, he has really struggled at the plate.

- Losing our second best offensive and defensive player in CF Jeremy Rathjen (who was off the a great start) for the season.

- Without our third best offensive and defensive player (OF Michael Fuda) for all but 8 games so far.

- Losing our Saturday starter, So RHP (and 4th OFer) Chase McDowell for the season.

At least Tulane has their lineup and defense in tact. Rice not only have lost key players, but upperclassmen who were counted upon to provide onfield leadership.

Yet, somehow, and despite playing to the #10 ranked SoS, the Owls have managed to stay afloat (barely). On Wednesday, we fielded a team with 5 true Freshmen in the everyday lineup. Rendon and Ratterree are the only returning starters from last year's squad in the everyday lineup. As for the pitching, this may be the best coaching job ever by Coaches Graham and Pierce. Amongst the three proven, returning pitchers from last year's squad, only Abe Gonzales has contributed, yet we have a team ERA under 3.60 (despite our very difficult OOC schedule, not to mention a steady dose of 5-game weeks up to this point), and outstanding K:BB ratio and Ks/9 IP numbers with a largely new and inexperienced staff.
4/4/2011 4:02:50 PM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: Our weekly college baseball chat

weg313
weg313
K, you know I love you, but your comment about UCLA over Rice is nothing short of insane. So you love Cole and Bauer (as does everybody else); that great, but let's take a look at reality...

RPI: Rice #22 vs.UCLA #92
ISR: Rice #23 vs. UCLA #46
SoS: Rice #21 vs. UCLA #58
Warren Nolan Power Index: Rice #43 vs.UCLA #82
W-L: Rice 21-11 vs. UCLA 14-9 (the difference is Rice has played 2 mid-weekers each week to just 1 for UCLA)
vs. Top 50: Rice 7-7 vs.UCLA 0-2
vs. Top 100: Rice 9-9 vs. UCLA 2-4

I'm at a loss to find even a singular rationale (other than bias) for ranking UCLA over Rice at the moment...and given Rice's very significant injury woes (Rendon, Fuda, Rathjen, McDowell), the young Owls are much more likely to improve as the season progresses.
4/5/2011 7:42:32 AM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: Our weekly college baseball chat

weg313
weg313
Yes, Kendall. BTW, you do realize that both Kubitza and Reckling have superior ERAs than Cole, and Rice's 3rd weekend starter (Gonzales) has an ERA of 2.85? Offensively, as bad as the Owls have been (partly due to injuries), the Bruins make Rice's offense seem like Murderers Row.
4/5/2011 7:43:43 AM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: Our weekly college baseball chat

weg313
weg313
BTW, K, you do realize UCLA has yet to win a weekend series against a team with a winning record; let alone a team in the Top 150?
4/5/2011 10:17:08 AM
Topic:
CHAT TRANSCRIPT: Our weekly college baseball chat

weg313
weg313
Give me a break, K. You haven't seen Rice since the 3rd week of the season. Our infield defense, for one, has improved leaps and bounds since then (as Chargois gains experience at 1B and Hoelscher has made the adjustments at 3B). Also, since you last saw the Owls, Simms was moved to the back of the bullpen, Cingrani has been close to lights out, and both Spurlin and Fant have stepped up in relief.

You still have yet to provide a single rationale why you would pick UCLA over Rice. Sorry, K, it's makes no sense whatsoever based on performance todate and stats to date. As great as Cole and Bauer have been, they have not out pitched the Owls weekend rotation, and Rice has faced far stiffer competition. And offensively, as bad as Rice has been, they've hit better than UCLA....and the records, RPI, ISR, et al. reflect that.
4/14/2011 10:53:17 AM
Topic:
PG64: NCAA Postseason Projections (4/14) -HAVE Qs?

weg313
weg313
Kendall wrote:
ucfalum08 wrote:
How many C-USA teams do you see making it in the end? You currently have 5 in but 3 are on the bubble. Is it more realistic to only expect 3?


Yeah, the fact I have five in right now is the main reason East Carolina is not included. No chance in heck C-USA gets six postseason bids, not this year at least. I think four teams will "probably" make it in the end. Even five is likely stretching it, IMO.


And what's your justification in saying this, kendall? You do realize C-USA currently ranks #4 in conference RPI and is within earshot of overtaking the Big 12 for the #3 position. I'd be very, very surprised, barring a season-ending collapse by a couple teams, if four C-USA teams make the dance, and five could very well make it.

As for your projections, are you trying to make the Houston regional the toughest in the history of NCAA baseball? You currently have Rice hosting (though they continue to be unranked in your poll), with TCU #2 and UCLA #3, despite both these teams appearing in your Top 25, and Coastal #4? How the heck is Coastal a #4 seed?
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